Metamath Proof Explorer


Theorem bayesth

Description: Bayes Theorem. (Contributed by Thierry Arnoux, 20-Dec-2016) (Revised by Thierry Arnoux, 21-Jan-2017)

Ref Expression
Assertion bayesth ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → cProb ⁡ P ⁡ A B = cProb ⁡ P ⁡ B A ⁢ P ⁡ A P ⁡ B

Proof

Step Hyp Ref Expression
1 unitsscn ⊢ 0 1 ⊆ ℂ
2 cndprob01 ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → cProb ⁡ P ⁡ A B ∈ 0 1
3 2 3adant2 ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → cProb ⁡ P ⁡ A B ∈ 0 1
4 1 3 sselid ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → cProb ⁡ P ⁡ A B ∈ ℂ
5 simp11 ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → P ∈ Prob
6 simp13 ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → B ∈ dom ⁡ P
7 prob01 ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P → P ⁡ B ∈ 0 1
8 5 6 7 syl2anc ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → P ⁡ B ∈ 0 1
9 1 8 sselid ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → P ⁡ B ∈ ℂ
10 simp3 ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → P ⁡ B ≠ 0
11 4 9 10 divcan4d ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → cProb ⁡ P ⁡ A B ⁢ P ⁡ B P ⁡ B = cProb ⁡ P ⁡ A B
12 incom ⊢ A ∩ B = B ∩ A
13 12 fveq2i ⊢ P ⁡ A ∩ B = P ⁡ B ∩ A
14 cndprobin ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → cProb ⁡ P ⁡ A B ⁢ P ⁡ B = P ⁡ A ∩ B
15 14 3adant2 ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → cProb ⁡ P ⁡ A B ⁢ P ⁡ B = P ⁡ A ∩ B
16 simp12 ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → A ∈ dom ⁡ P
17 simp2 ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → P ⁡ A ≠ 0
18 cndprobin ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 → cProb ⁡ P ⁡ B A ⁢ P ⁡ A = P ⁡ B ∩ A
19 5 6 16 17 18 syl31anc ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → cProb ⁡ P ⁡ B A ⁢ P ⁡ A = P ⁡ B ∩ A
20 13 15 19 3eqtr4a ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → cProb ⁡ P ⁡ A B ⁢ P ⁡ B = cProb ⁡ P ⁡ B A ⁢ P ⁡ A
21 20 oveq1d ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → cProb ⁡ P ⁡ A B ⁢ P ⁡ B P ⁡ B = cProb ⁡ P ⁡ B A ⁢ P ⁡ A P ⁡ B
22 11 21 eqtr3d ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ P ⁡ A ≠ 0 ∧ P ⁡ B ≠ 0 → cProb ⁡ P ⁡ A B = cProb ⁡ P ⁡ B A ⁢ P ⁡ A P ⁡ B