Metamath Proof Explorer


Theorem totprobd

Description: Law of total probability, deduction form. (Contributed by Thierry Arnoux, 25-Dec-2016)

Ref Expression
Hypotheses totprobd.1 ⊢ φ → P ∈ Prob
totprobd.2 ⊢ φ → A ∈ dom ⁡ P
totprobd.3 ⊢ φ → B ∈ 𝒫 dom ⁡ P
totprobd.4 ⊢ φ → ⋃ B = ⋃ dom ⁡ P
totprobd.5 ⊢ φ → B ≼ ω
totprobd.6 ⊢ φ → Disj b ∈ B b
Assertion totprobd ⊢ φ → P ⁡ A = ∑ * b ∈ B P ⁡ b ∩ A

Proof

Step Hyp Ref Expression
1 totprobd.1 ⊢ φ → P ∈ Prob
2 totprobd.2 ⊢ φ → A ∈ dom ⁡ P
3 totprobd.3 ⊢ φ → B ∈ 𝒫 dom ⁡ P
4 totprobd.4 ⊢ φ → ⋃ B = ⋃ dom ⁡ P
5 totprobd.5 ⊢ φ → B ≼ ω
6 totprobd.6 ⊢ φ → Disj b ∈ B b
7 elssuni ⊢ A ∈ dom ⁡ P → A ⊆ ⋃ dom ⁡ P
8 2 7 syl ⊢ φ → A ⊆ ⋃ dom ⁡ P
9 8 4 sseqtrrd ⊢ φ → A ⊆ ⋃ B
10 sseqin2 ⊢ A ⊆ ⋃ B ↔ ⋃ B ∩ A = A
11 9 10 sylib ⊢ φ → ⋃ B ∩ A = A
12 11 fveq2d ⊢ φ → P ⁡ ⋃ B ∩ A = P ⁡ A
13 domprobmeas ⊢ P ∈ Prob → P ∈ measures ⁡ dom ⁡ P
14 1 13 syl ⊢ φ → P ∈ measures ⁡ dom ⁡ P
15 measinb ⊢ P ∈ measures ⁡ dom ⁡ P ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P → c ∈ dom ⁡ P ⟼ P ⁡ c ∩ A ∈ measures ⁡ dom ⁡ P
16 14 2 15 syl2anc ⊢ φ → c ∈ dom ⁡ P ⟼ P ⁡ c ∩ A ∈ measures ⁡ dom ⁡ P
17 measvun ⊢ c ∈ dom ⁡ P ⟼ P ⁡ c ∩ A ∈ measures ⁡ dom ⁡ P ∧ B ∈ 𝒫 dom ⁡ P ∧ B ≼ ω ∧ Disj b ∈ B b → c ∈ dom ⁡ P ⟼ P ⁡ c ∩ A ⁡ ⋃ B = ∑ * b ∈ B c ∈ dom ⁡ P ⟼ P ⁡ c ∩ A ⁡ b
18 16 3 5 6 17 syl112anc ⊢ φ → c ∈ dom ⁡ P ⟼ P ⁡ c ∩ A ⁡ ⋃ B = ∑ * b ∈ B c ∈ dom ⁡ P ⟼ P ⁡ c ∩ A ⁡ b
19 eqidd ⊢ φ → c ∈ dom ⁡ P ⟼ P ⁡ c ∩ A = c ∈ dom ⁡ P ⟼ P ⁡ c ∩ A
20 simpr ⊢ φ ∧ c = ⋃ B → c = ⋃ B
21 20 ineq1d ⊢ φ ∧ c = ⋃ B → c ∩ A = ⋃ B ∩ A
22 21 fveq2d ⊢ φ ∧ c = ⋃ B → P ⁡ c ∩ A = P ⁡ ⋃ B ∩ A
23 domprobsiga ⊢ P ∈ Prob → dom ⁡ P ∈ ⋃ ran ⁡ sigAlgebra
24 1 23 syl ⊢ φ → dom ⁡ P ∈ ⋃ ran ⁡ sigAlgebra
25 sigaclcu ⊢ dom ⁡ P ∈ ⋃ ran ⁡ sigAlgebra ∧ B ∈ 𝒫 dom ⁡ P ∧ B ≼ ω → ⋃ B ∈ dom ⁡ P
26 24 3 5 25 syl3anc ⊢ φ → ⋃ B ∈ dom ⁡ P
27 inelsiga ⊢ dom ⁡ P ∈ ⋃ ran ⁡ sigAlgebra ∧ ⋃ B ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P → ⋃ B ∩ A ∈ dom ⁡ P
28 24 26 2 27 syl3anc ⊢ φ → ⋃ B ∩ A ∈ dom ⁡ P
29 prob01 ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ ⋃ B ∩ A ∈ dom ⁡ P → P ⁡ ⋃ B ∩ A ∈ 0 1
30 1 28 29 syl2anc ⊢ φ → P ⁡ ⋃ B ∩ A ∈ 0 1
31 19 22 26 30 fvmptd ⊢ φ → c ∈ dom ⁡ P ⟼ P ⁡ c ∩ A ⁡ ⋃ B = P ⁡ ⋃ B ∩ A
32 eqidd ⊢ φ ∧ b ∈ B → c ∈ dom ⁡ P ⟼ P ⁡ c ∩ A = c ∈ dom ⁡ P ⟼ P ⁡ c ∩ A
33 simpr ⊢ φ ∧ b ∈ B ∧ c = b → c = b
34 33 ineq1d ⊢ φ ∧ b ∈ B ∧ c = b → c ∩ A = b ∩ A
35 34 fveq2d ⊢ φ ∧ b ∈ B ∧ c = b → P ⁡ c ∩ A = P ⁡ b ∩ A
36 simpr ⊢ φ ∧ b ∈ B → b ∈ B
37 3 adantr ⊢ φ ∧ b ∈ B → B ∈ 𝒫 dom ⁡ P
38 elelpwi ⊢ b ∈ B ∧ B ∈ 𝒫 dom ⁡ P → b ∈ dom ⁡ P
39 36 37 38 syl2anc ⊢ φ ∧ b ∈ B → b ∈ dom ⁡ P
40 1 adantr ⊢ φ ∧ b ∈ B → P ∈ Prob
41 24 adantr ⊢ φ ∧ b ∈ B → dom ⁡ P ∈ ⋃ ran ⁡ sigAlgebra
42 2 adantr ⊢ φ ∧ b ∈ B → A ∈ dom ⁡ P
43 inelsiga ⊢ dom ⁡ P ∈ ⋃ ran ⁡ sigAlgebra ∧ b ∈ dom ⁡ P ∧ A ∈ dom ⁡ P → b ∩ A ∈ dom ⁡ P
44 41 39 42 43 syl3anc ⊢ φ ∧ b ∈ B → b ∩ A ∈ dom ⁡ P
45 prob01 ⊢ P ∈ Prob ∧ b ∩ A ∈ dom ⁡ P → P ⁡ b ∩ A ∈ 0 1
46 40 44 45 syl2anc ⊢ φ ∧ b ∈ B → P ⁡ b ∩ A ∈ 0 1
47 32 35 39 46 fvmptd ⊢ φ ∧ b ∈ B → c ∈ dom ⁡ P ⟼ P ⁡ c ∩ A ⁡ b = P ⁡ b ∩ A
48 47 esumeq2dv ⊢ φ → ∑ * b ∈ B c ∈ dom ⁡ P ⟼ P ⁡ c ∩ A ⁡ b = ∑ * b ∈ B P ⁡ b ∩ A
49 18 31 48 3eqtr3d ⊢ φ → P ⁡ ⋃ B ∩ A = ∑ * b ∈ B P ⁡ b ∩ A
50 12 49 eqtr3d ⊢ φ → P ⁡ A = ∑ * b ∈ B P ⁡ b ∩ A